2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

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TheElephantMan
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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by TheElephantMan » Tue Mar 31, 2015 1:07 pm

Both well short of a majority..............................WHAT figure is a majority?

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Russ
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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by Russ » Tue Mar 31, 2015 1:10 pm

TheElephantMan wrote:Both well short of a majority..............................WHAT figure is a majority?
326

More accurate predictions are Tories 310

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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by big mervyn » Tue Mar 31, 2015 1:15 pm

Russ wrote:
TheElephantMan wrote:Both well short of a majority..............................WHAT figure is a majority?
326

More accurate predictions are Tories 310
Tell that to the bookies.
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TheElephantMan
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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by TheElephantMan » Tue Mar 31, 2015 1:24 pm

I just hope we dont return the TORY CUTS PARTY.......opps

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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by Dave » Tue Mar 31, 2015 1:46 pm

Russ wrote:
TheElephantMan wrote:Both well short of a majority..............................WHAT figure is a majority?
326

More accurate predictions are Tories 310
Was that from a bel tel pole?
I have my own tv channel, what have you got?

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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by big mervyn » Tue Mar 31, 2015 1:53 pm

Once a Knight wrote:
big mervyn wrote: If any UK party goes into a formal coalition with any of our numpties, the peace process will be away to feck.

:shock: :shock: :shock: :shock: :shock:

You mean we could lose the high functioning beacon of democracy and positive politics that is the Stormont Assembly? :shock:
I agree, that it is hard to see the downside of that one, but it will inevitably temper the amount of cooperation between our worthy representatives and the mainland parties.
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big mervyn
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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by big mervyn » Tue Mar 31, 2015 2:06 pm

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big mervyn
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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by big mervyn » Tue Mar 31, 2015 2:08 pm

Russ wrote:
TheElephantMan wrote:Both well short of a majority..............................WHAT figure is a majority?
326
You predicting that the Sinners are going to take their seats then Russ?
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big mervyn
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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by big mervyn » Tue Mar 31, 2015 2:32 pm

Once a Knight wrote:
All interesting Mervyn. Much more so if the pollsters actually had a clue how to model this particular election. Hence my question to Russ about the source of his data. I have been following politics as a "subject" for 35 years and can't think of a comparable general election. My best guess is Tories the largest party with some form of coalition. The SNP is the game changer - like I told you back at the time of the Independence vote.
UKIP may be a bigger threat to the Tories than the SNP is to Labour.

The SNP will take Labour seats but are unlikely to prevent them from governing.

UKIP may allow Labour to win a number of Labour/Tory marginals.
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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by mikerob » Tue Mar 31, 2015 3:26 pm

UKIP may be a threat to Labour in some areas as well.

A lot of Labour support in the north is what you would call "patriotic working class" and they may have more affinity with a local UKIP person than metropolitan-elite, Hampstead socialist types like Milliband. So if Labour are complacent and the local kippers get out there and knock on doors, Labour may be surprised how many of their support end up defecting.

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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by BaggyTrousers » Tue Mar 31, 2015 3:41 pm

Russ wrote:
TheElephantMan wrote:Both well short of a majority..............................WHAT figure is a majority?
326

More accurate predictions are Tories 310
Your wishes are not the same as "accurate predictions" toryboy. I see London is set to light up red, apparently largely due to reaction against the buffoon you idolize, Boris the Bastid.
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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by Russ » Tue Mar 31, 2015 3:47 pm

BaggyTrousers wrote:
Russ wrote:
TheElephantMan wrote:Both well short of a majority..............................WHAT figure is a majority?
326

More accurate predictions are Tories 310
Your wishes are not the same as "accurate predictions" toryboy. I see London is set to light up red, apparently largely due to reaction against the buffoon you idolize, Boris the Bastid.
London has always been red

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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by big mervyn » Tue Mar 31, 2015 4:47 pm

I fancy a minority labour government as things stand. There should be enough left of centre minority parties to allow that to happen without a formal coalition.
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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by Dave » Tue Mar 31, 2015 5:29 pm

big mervyn wrote:I fancy a minority labour government as things stand. There should be enough left of centre minority parties to allow that to happen without a formal coalition.
Yeah I feel this will be inevitable. The lib dems are not going into another coalition with the tories. It has nearly destroyed them.
I have my own tv channel, what have you got?

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Dave
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Re: 2015 - The General Election - Discussion Forum

Post by Dave » Tue Mar 31, 2015 5:30 pm

I have my own tv channel, what have you got?

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