BaggyTrousers wrote:rorybestsbigbaldnoggin wrote:BaggyTrousers wrote:rorybestsbigbaldnoggin wrote:
I feel like Schmidt's Ireland are a different beast. He won't tolerate "nerves", or players using "favourites not being Ireland's natural status" as an excuse.
Blinkers off time. What about the non-performance in Wales? That can & will be replicated, we are decent/competitive on our limited gameplan we are not "great".
I wouldn't call that a complete non-performance, though. It was our worst of the 6Ns, but we were within 6 at the end. There were a few mitigating factors:
Sexton had a nightmare (as will happen on occasion, particularly when only on his 3rd game back from lengthy lay-off);
the 3/4 line ballsed up a vital stretch (albeit against phenomenal defence), which highlighted the absence of BOD;
Barnes used the first 15 minutes to educate the defending team on how he would be handling the breakdown, which unfortunately was us;
Barnes knows as much as Britney Spears about the scrum (we were so dominant in the scrum that we broke Samson Lee's leg
, with no reward).
Wales beat us at our own game, which we were not ready for. The fault for that ultimately lies at the door of the coaching team, not the intrinsic psychic doubts of the players - though it should be emphasised that even with all of this, we only lost by 6 points.
Baldy, I missed this a while back & Buck's subsequent post about the glories of Murrayfield. Excuses is about the height of what you have posted, frailty that you or someone said Schmidt would not tolerate. Then Scotland, a team shamed in their own backyard, of course they had to go for it, nothing magical or mystical.
Let's put it this way, if Fibber Joe had sent them out to grind out a win their, I'd have been calling for the return of Deccie Kidney, they knew they needed to win by 21 or something like it, it was not a tactical stroke of genius.
Anyway, I want them to do well obviously but the reality is they will fail as they always fail. If anyone sees a semi-final as great, I disagree, it's just another failure. I see no point in entering something you can;t win & will soon start lobbying UR to boycott next season's SDC on the basis that it is now firmly above our pay grade & a waste of time. We are in it for filthy lucre, not to win.
"Excuses" is probably an accurate summation of half of the points I offered, Baggy: the scrum and the co-incidence of Barnes laying down the law when we were without possession were factors beyond immediate control (ie, excuses). Sexton playing terribly and the 3/4 line having their first (and hopefully only) "where's BOD" moment were 2 problems that were within the realms of tactical work.
We were also reluctant to move away from a kicking game against an aerially excellent back 3, which hurt. Whilst that is understandable, it was a tactical failing by Schmidt - one which I hope he has learned from (see the Scotland match).
Re the semi-finals; I don't think anyone is saying "if we get to the SF, job done, the semi is only an exhibition match." I think the point is, if we get to a semi, we would be playing one of England/Australia/Wales; we'd have a 40-60% chance of beating one of those teams, approximately. Then we're potentially into a final against SA/NZ, which is a one-off game where we are massive underdogs, but not without hope. One game is one game, after all.
In the end, though, my prediction for Ireland this autumn is to get to the semi-finals, or
possibly the final, but fall short. It is too much to expect all of Heaslip, Murray, Sexton and O'Connell to perform at 100% for five consecutive matches, without injury or drop-off, and that is what we would need to have a strong chance of winning the World Cup.
EDIT: Additions
It's the hope that kills you.